Have you ever wondered what the chances of a team winning was based off of the money line for the game? That’s a key part of understanding money line bets. First, we have a simple calculator that you can use to plug in any moneyline (American style odds) and quickly get the fair market probability that it implies. We’ve also included a chart below the calculator for reference, and to see how favorites and underdogs compare.

Money Line Calculator (Implied Probability)

The following chart shows how likely a team is to win based off the odds. This is helpful in handicapping because you can see just what percentage of your wagers you need to win at each given money line in order to profit.

The left chart is to be used for favorites, the right for underdogs.

If $10 is bet at odds of 3/1, the potential profit is $30 ($10 x 3) and the total returned is $40 ($30 plus the $10 stake). Implied Probability. Odds correlate to probability. A 4/1 bet is expected to win one in every five attempts, therefore the probability is 20%. Odds Conversion Table. To convert fractional odds into their respective probabilities, we make the following calculation. Denominator divided by (denominator plus numerator) So in our example of odds of 5/2. Multiplied then by 100 to express as a implied probability percentage of 28.6%.

For odds over 1/1, you then multiply the fraction by 100. So to convert odds 3/2, you’d carry out the following calculation: 3/2 = 1.5. 1.5 x 100 = +160. If you want to convert odds on a favourite, such as 2/3, you first convert the fraction to a decimal and then divide -100 by the decimal. The calculation for this is: 2/3 = 0.67-100/0.67 = -150. Odds of 1/3 will pay only 33.33 percent of the amount risked, so a bet of $100 would profit $33.33 if it should win. Covers’ odds converter allows you to enter any of these odds variations.

Win % – Percentage of wins required to show a profit at a given money line.

For example, you would need to win 80% of all of your bets just to break even if you only bet on -400 money line favorites (over 80% to turn a profit).

Moneyline Conversion: Odds to Percentage Chart

Spread to Moneyline by Sport Conversion

With esports betting becoming more and more popular, it’s good to know about the different types of esports odds. These odds come in several forms. In this article I will take you through the basics so that you may fully understand what the various esports betting sites are showing you.

The three main types of esports betting odds are the following:

1. Decimal Odds

Decimal odds are called decimal because they come in decimal form.

Examples include: 1.80, 2.40, 4.00 and so on.

The meaning of these odds is very simple: your total returns are whatever the odds show you multiplied by the amount you wagered.

So if you bet $5 that team A will win the match and team A’s odds of winning are 1.80, you get a return of 5 * 1.80 = $9. If you wager $20 on a team whose odds are 4.00, the amount you get in case of a win will be 20 * 4.00 = $80.

Two things you’ll want to know here is how to convert odds to percentage and how to convert odds to probability.

Decimal Odds to Percentage

Another way of understanding decimal odds is using percentages.

So instead of 1.80, think of this as 180%. Instead of 2.40, think 240%. And 4.00 would actually mean 400%.

Of course, these percentages include the amount you’ve wagered. So it’s not 180% profit but 180% returns. The profit is actually just 80%. In the second case, the profit is 140%. In the third it’s 300%.

So you always have to decrease your initial amount or 100% in order to find what you’re actually making.

Decimal Odds to Probability

If you want to find out the win probability of a given bet in the bookmaker’s assessment, just do it this way: 2.00 is exactly 50%. Anything below that is less than 50%. Anything above that is more than 50%.

The general formula for turning decimal odds to probability is this: 100/odds.

If a team’s odds of winning are 5.00, their estimated chance of winning is 20%.

Of course, all of this is true in the bookmaker’s assessment. But that doesn’t mean it’s 100% correct. In fact, sometimes you will find the real favorite regarded as the underdog, simply because the bookmaker doesn’t understand what’s going on. These are the situations in which you can make a lot of money.

Ultimately, you shouldn’t be worried about what the bookmaker is telling you and simply assess the situation yourself, using your own esports knowledge and seeking bets that give you good risk/reward ratios.

2. Fractional Odds

Fractional odds look like this: 5/1, 8/1, 2/1 and so on. Their general form is x/y, which means this: you make a profit of x dollars for every y dollars you wager.

So in the first example (5/1), you make $5 for every $1 you wager. And that’s just your profit. The total amount you get back is actually $6 (your profit plus the dollar you wagered).

Just like with decimal odds, you’ll want to know how to convert odds to percentage and how to convert odds to probability.

Fractional Odds to Percentage

When turning fractional odds to percentage in order to calculate profitability, the general rule is to determine how many dollars you get for each dollar you wagered and then multiply that with 100. That will give you your profit in percentages.

So in the first case (5/1), you’d get a profit of 500%, while your total returns would be 600%.

But let’s take a more difficult example, such as 7/2. In this case, you’d get a profit of $7 for each $2 you wagered. To figure out the percentages, just divide 7 by 2 and then multiply with 100. What you’d get is 700/2 or 350%.

Fractional Odds to Probability

If you want to turn fractional odds to probability in order to figure out the win probability of a given team according to the bookmaker, just use the following formula: given the odds of n/m, the number you’re looking for can be found like this: (m/(m+n)) * 100.

For example: 4/1 would give us (1/(4+1)) * 100 or (1/5) * 100 or 100/5 or 20%.

3. American Odds

These types of odds are the most unusual and difficult to grasp at first, because it’s hard to deduce what they mean unless someone explains them to you.

And their meaning is this: when you see the minus sign (-), that’s the favorite. And the number followed by it represents the amount you need to wager to make a profit of $100.

Odds Converter To Percentage

When you see the plus sign (+), that’s the underdog. And the number followed by it represents the profit you’ll make for every $100 you wager.

For example:

Team A: -760

Team B: +585

If you wanted to bet on team A, for each $760 you wagered you’d make a profit of $100, meaning that you’d get a total of $860 back.

If you wanted to bet on team B, for each $100 you wagered you’d make a profit of $585, meaning that you’d get a total of $685 back.

Translate Odds To Percentage

American Odds to Percentage

For underdogs, transforming American odds to percentage is simple: the odds themselves constitute the profit percentage. So in the above case, the percentage is 585%. Because you’re wagering $100 and making a profit of $585, So the percentage of the total return is actually 685%.

For favorites, what you do is this: you divide 10,000 by the number associated with them and you get the percentage you’re looking for.

In the example above, the result would be 10,000/760 = 13,15%. This would be your profit. So in total, you’d get back 113,15% of what you wagered.

American Odds to Probability

For the underdogs, the win probability can be obtained using the same method used for fractional odds.

So in our example, we’d have 5.85/1 and that would give us (1/(1+5.85)) * 100 or (1/6.85) * 100 or 100/6.85 or 14.6%. To calculate the win probability for the favorite, just subtract that from 100% and voila!

Odds Converter To Percentage

If you want to learn more about Dota 2 odds, League of Legends odds or any other kind of esports odds, just check out our guides!